I was just thinking about the recent changes in the Ukraine War. The news folks want everyone to believe that Putin is just adjusting his army to concentrate on the eastern part of Ukraine. He has withdrawn all his forces from around the Kiev area back to the North. Some are saying his army is not capable of taking the Capital City so they are going to focus on the areas of Ukraine that have been areas of conflict for many many years. Personally, I really want to believe this is Putin's plan, and he is starting to accept that he can't win in the Ukraine. However, there are more options for Putin with this withdraw of troops in the North.
First of all, he could be planning to take the eastern areas of the Ukraine for now. He may think if he can defeat the Ukrainians in the East, he can regroup and move a gain in a few years on the rest of the Country. If he can finish off Maripol and take Odessa he can cut the Ukraine off of any access to a seaport to import or export materials. That would have a devastating impact on the overall Ukrainian economy. If he can secure that eastern area of Ukraine, he can continue to wage a reduced war on the rest of the Country while preparing to make another full-scale attack down the road. By any means, it is a plan that keeps Putin pushing for a complete invasion of the Ukraine, while giving him time for him to rebuild his dismal army.
I am no military expert or have access to any intelligence that would give me more information to draw my conclusions. However, from what I have seen in the news coverage of the Ukrainian War, the Russian Army has had its ass handed to itself on numerous occasions while only being successful with their aerial campaign that has destroyed cities and killed thousands of civilians. The Ukrainian Army has taken casualties too, but nothing in comparison to Russian casualties.
My problem is with the withdrawal of Russian troops from around Kiev. Why, you might ask? If I were Putin and if became obvious to me my Army was crap, and yet I still wanted to take the Ukrainian people down with as few more casualties to my Army as possible, what would I do? With all the Russian troops withdrawn from the area of the Capital City, I can now destroy it with a nuclear weapon in on fell swoop and not loose my Army at the same time. I can also destroy other northern cities without using any troops. So, while we all celebrate the defeat of the Russian Army in the Kiev area, let us not forget how vulnerable the city may not be. I pray this scenario will never develop.
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